Sunday, March 29, 2009
The Latest NBA Search Market Post!
Rotoworld NBA Season Pass members can read the latest NBA Search Market column by clicking here.
NBA Search Market: Week 22
If your league has playoffs, you're probably just starting your semifinal matchups today. Exciting stuff. Hopefully you've been able to avoid all the injured players listed below!
Players In The Top Ten You Can Consider Dropping
Stephen Jackson – Unless you are in a season-ending surgery league, you can safely drop Jackson.
Corey Maggette – In addition for suffering from a horrible affliction called "Crazy Coach," Maggette has a bruised melon (head). While it is possible that he plays Monday night, it is also possible that he hands in his swipe cards to the team practice facility, cleans out his locker, and jets off to Key West. Given the status of his Jackson (see above), it is probably more likely that he does start the Operation Shutdown sequence. My guess is he provides two excellent games from here on out, but he also misses a few and has a few clunkers. Is that worth waiting for? You decide.
Gilbert Arenas – If you are in a weekly-lineup setting league, he's not worth holding onto. However, if you are in a daily league, and if you have bravery in your DNA, and then you sign up to ride the Areanas Rollercoaster. He had ten assists in his first game back. That's pretty good. Pencil in 7-10 more for each Wiz homegame he decides to play in.
Kevin Garnett – How did playing Garnett last week work out for you? Not so well? I'm guess you're a little gunshy about starting him this week, then. Garnett might play Friday, but I wouldn't hold your breath. I wouldn't drop Garnett, but in some leagues that might be the smart thing to do.
Troy Murphy – Troy might be back before the season ends. Which means, if you are in a weekly league, you might get him for your finals matchup. Or you might not. So if you need healthy players to win now (which most of us do), then you should cut him. But if you have a deep bench and can slide Troy onto it, do that.
Josh Howard – It has been difficult to get accurate reports on Howard, but one of the things we do know is that he is going to need surgery on his ankle. I've given up hope on him, quite honestly. Drop him for non-dunking JJ Barea and move on, I say.
Here is the NBA Search Market Timeline:
Players that can help you
Devin Harris – Harris has returned from injury to post two solid games. While Harris owners should be concerned that the playoff-missing Nets will shut Harris down at some point, he's a great play for now.
Richard Hamilton – UConn! UConn! Sorry. Rip returned after missing six games to post two solid games. Like Butler below, he might miss more time, but he's a must start until that time comes.
Caron Butler – UConn! UConn! Sorry again. So as you can clearly see, Caron knows how to get the job done when he is on the court. After missing seven games with a day-to-day injury (which was clearly more of a week-to-week thing), he returned to post two solid games. He might miss a few more games along the way, but until then he is a must start.
Move along, nothing to see here
Mike Taylor – Baron Davis missed time with to deal with a fight against a stomach ulcer, but he should be returning soon. When he does, Taylor loses all, or most, of his fantasy value. Then again, should we be trusting Baron Davis after he has betrayed our trust all season by being, well, terrible? If you are the gambling type, you can run with Taylor as far as he will take you.
Players In The Top Ten You Can Consider Dropping
Stephen Jackson – Unless you are in a season-ending surgery league, you can safely drop Jackson.
Corey Maggette – In addition for suffering from a horrible affliction called "Crazy Coach," Maggette has a bruised melon (head). While it is possible that he plays Monday night, it is also possible that he hands in his swipe cards to the team practice facility, cleans out his locker, and jets off to Key West. Given the status of his Jackson (see above), it is probably more likely that he does start the Operation Shutdown sequence. My guess is he provides two excellent games from here on out, but he also misses a few and has a few clunkers. Is that worth waiting for? You decide.
Gilbert Arenas – If you are in a weekly-lineup setting league, he's not worth holding onto. However, if you are in a daily league, and if you have bravery in your DNA, and then you sign up to ride the Areanas Rollercoaster. He had ten assists in his first game back. That's pretty good. Pencil in 7-10 more for each Wiz homegame he decides to play in.
Kevin Garnett – How did playing Garnett last week work out for you? Not so well? I'm guess you're a little gunshy about starting him this week, then. Garnett might play Friday, but I wouldn't hold your breath. I wouldn't drop Garnett, but in some leagues that might be the smart thing to do.
Troy Murphy – Troy might be back before the season ends. Which means, if you are in a weekly league, you might get him for your finals matchup. Or you might not. So if you need healthy players to win now (which most of us do), then you should cut him. But if you have a deep bench and can slide Troy onto it, do that.
Josh Howard – It has been difficult to get accurate reports on Howard, but one of the things we do know is that he is going to need surgery on his ankle. I've given up hope on him, quite honestly. Drop him for non-dunking JJ Barea and move on, I say.
Here is the NBA Search Market Timeline:
Players that can help you
Devin Harris – Harris has returned from injury to post two solid games. While Harris owners should be concerned that the playoff-missing Nets will shut Harris down at some point, he's a great play for now.
Richard Hamilton – UConn! UConn! Sorry. Rip returned after missing six games to post two solid games. Like Butler below, he might miss more time, but he's a must start until that time comes.
Caron Butler – UConn! UConn! Sorry again. So as you can clearly see, Caron knows how to get the job done when he is on the court. After missing seven games with a day-to-day injury (which was clearly more of a week-to-week thing), he returned to post two solid games. He might miss a few more games along the way, but until then he is a must start.
Move along, nothing to see here
Mike Taylor – Baron Davis missed time with to deal with a fight against a stomach ulcer, but he should be returning soon. When he does, Taylor loses all, or most, of his fantasy value. Then again, should we be trusting Baron Davis after he has betrayed our trust all season by being, well, terrible? If you are the gambling type, you can run with Taylor as far as he will take you.
Sunday, March 22, 2009
NBA Search Market: Week 21
Playoff time! For those of you who are owners of teams that are playoffs-bound, congratulations. For those of you who were able to secure a first-round playoff bye, even better. If you didn't make your playoffs, why are you even reading this? Go check out what's on your TiVo instead.
Injured Players In The Top Ten Most Searched You Can Consider Dropping
Andris Biedrins – If you have a deep bench or a place on your roster to store your injured players, the best move is to hold Biedrins and hope he returns later in the fantasy playoffs. If you have a normal-sized roster, you should drop Biedrins and pick up anyone on that might help your team this week or next week. I know it is hard to drop Andris, but I really think it is the right play. If it makes you feel better, I just dropped him in my ten-team league. Think of it this way: Biedrins might help your team for one week (the final week of the fantasy season), but that won't matter much if your team gets knocked out of the playoffs this week or next week. Play to win now (within reason…don't go dropping Mehmet Okur just because he missed one game with a finger-poked eyeball). There is one other smart rule to follow: avoid all players coached by Nellie. Which brings me to my next point…
Jamal Crawford. – Crawford and his coach Don "Nellie" Nelson are currently engaged in a battle of wits, a test of wills. Who will win? I don't know. Probably Nellie. In the meantime, fantasy owners lose. So instead of having Crawford and his uncertainty (and 41% FG%) clogging up your bench, go out and get someone who can help you win now. This is the playoffs. Go for broke.
Leandro Barbosa – You aren't going to start him this week. You aren't going to start him next week (when his team plays five (5!) games). You might be able to start him for the final week of the season (April 6th – 17th). But then again, you might not. Drop Barbosa and get a sure thing off the wire. I just did it in my league.
Allen Iverson – Detroit is a complete mess. Iverson is tempting to hold (or pick up off the wire), but the truth is there are a number of other players that might be on your waiver wire that could help you more. In fact, I'm going to discuss a bunch of them below. Stay tuned.
Injured Players That You Should Keep (For Now)
Dwyane Wade – Wade is playing excellent basketball right now. He is reportedly dealing with sore knees, but the team is going to hold him out of practices for the rest of the season to help keep him fresh.
Kevin Garnett – I'd start Garnett this week in weekly leagues. Sure, his minutes might be reduced, but 20-30 minutes from Garnett are better than most bench options. And, if you get lucky, Garnett might return to his typical workload this week. So playing Garnett should work out for you. If it backfires, you can't fault yourself for starting a healthy Kevin Garnett.
Devin Harris – Anyone else get the sense that Harris' injury is more serious than the Nets are letting on? I hope I'm wrong. Harris might play on Friday against the Lakers. The good news is that his team in the playoff hunt, so if he can play he will play.
Richard Hamilton – Rip has missed four games and will probably miss a fifth. He should play two or three games this week. This doesn't help weekly leaguers, but you should have Rip back for your playoff matchup next week.
Manu Ginobili – My Manu optimism from last week didn't help Manu get his butt back on the court. Sounds like he feels he is ready to play, but his coach is holding him back. His coach, it seems, understands that the regular season of the NBA is rather meaningless for a team like the Spurs. He wants Manu healthy for the playoffs. We, however, want Manu playing for OUR playoffs. Manu has been practicing with the team, so I think we seem Manu play in one or two games this week.
Caron Butler – Guys who are day-to-day rarely miss five games. Caron has. He might miss a few more. Or, he might start as early as Monday. We'll know more after his Monday shootaround.
A Few Guys Who Might Be On Your Waiver Wire
Remember when Ramon Sessions suddenly became crazy good for the last few weeks of the 2008 season? One of these players might end up being the Ramon Sessions of 2009:
(Note: it is possible that the phrase "Ramon Sessions of 2009" is already become clichéd. I know I've heard it a few times already. Sorry if my use of this cliché offended your sensibilities.)
Thabo Sefolosha – It is important to keep in mind that Thabo's numbers from earlier this month might have been inflated from Thabo needing to pick up the slack with Durant sitting out a few games, but Thabo is still a viable option in most leagues.
Spencer Hawes – Dude just had a near triple double. Plus, he's a second-year player and so you don't have to worry about him hitting a rookie wall.
Trevor Ariza – I just dropped Corey Maggette in one league to pick him up. I'm pretty high on his chances of being a fantasy force for the rest of the season. His steal totals alone will help you win your playoff matchups. I wonder if he's available, though. Probably not, right? Hopefully you were able to get him.
Sam Dalembert – Folks in head-to-head leagues should figure out which categories they want to target in their playoff matchups. If you find you need helping beefing up your rebounds, blocks, and a low turnover rate, Samuel might be your man.
Renaldo Balkman – Only 5% owned, but he's quietly put 10 points and 10 rebounds over the last 8 games (in 24 minutes). Denver is only going to play Kenyon Martin in the first half of games, and so Balkman should continue to get consistent minutes. He was unusable in the past because he would frequently ride the bench, but he's played in five straight at press time.
Brandon Wright – I'm not super keen on Wright, Arron Afflalo, or Keyon Dooling, but if you have to pick one, go with Wright, as his coach is crazy enough to suddenly start playing him 40 minutes a night.
Jamario Moon – Moon's minutes have increased to 30 minutes per game in March. His stats haven't been that great, but because Moon does a little of everything, all it would take is for him to suddenly start hitting for 10-15 points a game for him to be very valuable. Moon is certainly someone to keep an eye on. Same for Dominic McGuire.
Francisco Garcia – Garcia's finger injury scared off a lot of owners, but it is possible that Garcia gets into a groove and becomes the MVP of your team. He has had really good stretches in the past.
Chris Andersen – If Andersen were suddenly to start getting consistent minutes, can you imagine the block totals he would rack up?
Andray Blatche – A post-injury sleeper, if you will. He's been playing well of late, and if he ever starts getting more than 27 minutes a game, he might be able to help your team quite a bit.
Louis Williams – Another guy who could do some damage if he were to suddenly start getting more than 25 minutes per game.
Steve Novak – Sometimes guys getting 20 minutes per game in March get 35 minutes per game in April. Keep an eye on this three-point specialist, especially if you are in a daily league.
Kyle Korver – He's got a five-game week next week. Try to get any Jazz player, but Korver is one of the few that might actually be on the wire. And if he were to suddenly get more playing time, he'd be fantasy playoff gold.
Injured Players In The Top Ten Most Searched You Can Consider Dropping
Andris Biedrins – If you have a deep bench or a place on your roster to store your injured players, the best move is to hold Biedrins and hope he returns later in the fantasy playoffs. If you have a normal-sized roster, you should drop Biedrins and pick up anyone on that might help your team this week or next week. I know it is hard to drop Andris, but I really think it is the right play. If it makes you feel better, I just dropped him in my ten-team league. Think of it this way: Biedrins might help your team for one week (the final week of the fantasy season), but that won't matter much if your team gets knocked out of the playoffs this week or next week. Play to win now (within reason…don't go dropping Mehmet Okur just because he missed one game with a finger-poked eyeball). There is one other smart rule to follow: avoid all players coached by Nellie. Which brings me to my next point…
Jamal Crawford. – Crawford and his coach Don "Nellie" Nelson are currently engaged in a battle of wits, a test of wills. Who will win? I don't know. Probably Nellie. In the meantime, fantasy owners lose. So instead of having Crawford and his uncertainty (and 41% FG%) clogging up your bench, go out and get someone who can help you win now. This is the playoffs. Go for broke.
Leandro Barbosa – You aren't going to start him this week. You aren't going to start him next week (when his team plays five (5!) games). You might be able to start him for the final week of the season (April 6th – 17th). But then again, you might not. Drop Barbosa and get a sure thing off the wire. I just did it in my league.
Allen Iverson – Detroit is a complete mess. Iverson is tempting to hold (or pick up off the wire), but the truth is there are a number of other players that might be on your waiver wire that could help you more. In fact, I'm going to discuss a bunch of them below. Stay tuned.
Injured Players That You Should Keep (For Now)
Dwyane Wade – Wade is playing excellent basketball right now. He is reportedly dealing with sore knees, but the team is going to hold him out of practices for the rest of the season to help keep him fresh.
Kevin Garnett – I'd start Garnett this week in weekly leagues. Sure, his minutes might be reduced, but 20-30 minutes from Garnett are better than most bench options. And, if you get lucky, Garnett might return to his typical workload this week. So playing Garnett should work out for you. If it backfires, you can't fault yourself for starting a healthy Kevin Garnett.
Devin Harris – Anyone else get the sense that Harris' injury is more serious than the Nets are letting on? I hope I'm wrong. Harris might play on Friday against the Lakers. The good news is that his team in the playoff hunt, so if he can play he will play.
Richard Hamilton – Rip has missed four games and will probably miss a fifth. He should play two or three games this week. This doesn't help weekly leaguers, but you should have Rip back for your playoff matchup next week.
Manu Ginobili – My Manu optimism from last week didn't help Manu get his butt back on the court. Sounds like he feels he is ready to play, but his coach is holding him back. His coach, it seems, understands that the regular season of the NBA is rather meaningless for a team like the Spurs. He wants Manu healthy for the playoffs. We, however, want Manu playing for OUR playoffs. Manu has been practicing with the team, so I think we seem Manu play in one or two games this week.
Caron Butler – Guys who are day-to-day rarely miss five games. Caron has. He might miss a few more. Or, he might start as early as Monday. We'll know more after his Monday shootaround.
A Few Guys Who Might Be On Your Waiver Wire
Remember when Ramon Sessions suddenly became crazy good for the last few weeks of the 2008 season? One of these players might end up being the Ramon Sessions of 2009:
(Note: it is possible that the phrase "Ramon Sessions of 2009" is already become clichéd. I know I've heard it a few times already. Sorry if my use of this cliché offended your sensibilities.)
Thabo Sefolosha – It is important to keep in mind that Thabo's numbers from earlier this month might have been inflated from Thabo needing to pick up the slack with Durant sitting out a few games, but Thabo is still a viable option in most leagues.
Spencer Hawes – Dude just had a near triple double. Plus, he's a second-year player and so you don't have to worry about him hitting a rookie wall.
Trevor Ariza – I just dropped Corey Maggette in one league to pick him up. I'm pretty high on his chances of being a fantasy force for the rest of the season. His steal totals alone will help you win your playoff matchups. I wonder if he's available, though. Probably not, right? Hopefully you were able to get him.
Sam Dalembert – Folks in head-to-head leagues should figure out which categories they want to target in their playoff matchups. If you find you need helping beefing up your rebounds, blocks, and a low turnover rate, Samuel might be your man.
Renaldo Balkman – Only 5% owned, but he's quietly put 10 points and 10 rebounds over the last 8 games (in 24 minutes). Denver is only going to play Kenyon Martin in the first half of games, and so Balkman should continue to get consistent minutes. He was unusable in the past because he would frequently ride the bench, but he's played in five straight at press time.
Brandon Wright – I'm not super keen on Wright, Arron Afflalo, or Keyon Dooling, but if you have to pick one, go with Wright, as his coach is crazy enough to suddenly start playing him 40 minutes a night.
Jamario Moon – Moon's minutes have increased to 30 minutes per game in March. His stats haven't been that great, but because Moon does a little of everything, all it would take is for him to suddenly start hitting for 10-15 points a game for him to be very valuable. Moon is certainly someone to keep an eye on. Same for Dominic McGuire.
Francisco Garcia – Garcia's finger injury scared off a lot of owners, but it is possible that Garcia gets into a groove and becomes the MVP of your team. He has had really good stretches in the past.
Chris Andersen – If Andersen were suddenly to start getting consistent minutes, can you imagine the block totals he would rack up?
Andray Blatche – A post-injury sleeper, if you will. He's been playing well of late, and if he ever starts getting more than 27 minutes a game, he might be able to help your team quite a bit.
Louis Williams – Another guy who could do some damage if he were to suddenly start getting more than 25 minutes per game.
Steve Novak – Sometimes guys getting 20 minutes per game in March get 35 minutes per game in April. Keep an eye on this three-point specialist, especially if you are in a daily league.
Kyle Korver – He's got a five-game week next week. Try to get any Jazz player, but Korver is one of the few that might actually be on the wire. And if he were to suddenly get more playing time, he'd be fantasy playoff gold.
Sunday, March 15, 2009
NBA Search Market: Week 20
Pure Excitement
Kevin Durant – Not all players returning from injury are equal. Some, like Granger (see below), will need a few games to play themselves back into a groove. Durant’s return, however, was a completely positive experience: he played 40 minutes, he scored 22 points, but most importantly, he looked healthy out there on the court.
Hedo Turkoglu – Hedo is another player who recently returned from injury. His first night back was also a good sign for his owners, as he played 37 minutes and was left in the game even when the game’s outcome was no longer in doubt. Before missing two games with his foot injury, Hedo was having one of the worst seasons of his career shooting percentage-wise. Hedo, who shot 45.6% last year, is shooting 40.8% this year. He’s showed signs of turning things around in February (he shot 43%, his best month of the season), so hopefully now that he is healthy he can get his shooting percentage back in the mid-forties where it belongs.
Monta Ellis – At the beginning of the season, there was a lot of doom and gloom being spouted regarding the injuries of the following players: Manu Ginobili, Gilbert Arenas, and Monta Ellis. Manu proved useful for a few months in the middle of the season but is currently dealing with a stress fracture. Gilbert proved completely and utterly useless. And Monta Ellis, now three games into his comeback, has been a complete godsend to fantasy owners trying to make a late playoff push. In his last game, Monta played 41 minutes and scored 26 points on 12-of-19 shooting. Gold.
LeBron James – Did it scare the absolute farts out of you when LeBron crashed into Grant Hill and hurt his knee? Me too. But you have no need to worry. LeBron just missed a triple double in his next game.
Here is the NBA Search Market Timeline:
Cautious Optimism
Danny Granger – Granger’s first game back was a little rough: 3-of-11, 10 points, 1-of-7 on his three point attempts. Granger has been out a long time, and so it could easily take him a few games to work himself back into shape. Expect a few choppy outings this week. I own him in a weekly league, and I kept him on my bench this week. Why? Easy. A quasi-healthy Granger can be dangerous to any owner hoping to have a chance to win the field goal percentage category. Granger could easily jack up a shot a minute in his next few games, and I highly doubt he’ll make more than 40% of them. Give him a week. After that, he should be good to go, just in time for the fantasy basketball playoffs, too.
Randy Foye – Foye is one of those players who plays best when he is in a groove. This year, that groove happened in January, when he scored 19.4 points a game on 44.8% shooting. In the eighteen games he’s played since January, he’s scored almost as many points per game, but his average shooting percentage has been below 39%. After missing two games last week with an ankle injury, Foye returned to the court to score nine points in 31 minutes. He should be back in the starting lineup on Tuesday, and while it is likely that he’ll resume scoring just under 20 points a game, I highly doubt he’ll get into any sort of groove that has him shooting 45% from the field.
Manu Ginobili – For those of you in weekly leagues, it is entirely possible that Manu won’t help you make the playoffs, as he will probably miss 1-2 more weeks. If, however, you have already made the playoffs, I am completely confident that Manu will help your team. The Spurs have a solid playoff schedule, and Manu has a knack for coming up big. I’m bullish on Manu. I don’t quite know why, but I trust that he will do everything he can to return and will play well the moment he steps back onto the court. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if Manu were to play in a game later this week.* We’ll see.
*Do you think Manu will play in a game this week? Give it a thumbs up or down.
Unmitigated Wariness
Andris Biedrins – We’ve seen this before: Andris tweaks his ankle and misses a week. Given the fact that we are entering the final week of the regular fantasy season, Andris’ timing is a little annoying, but if you have a playoff spot locked up you should feel confident that Andris will be able to help your team come playoff time.
Active Worry
Marvin Williams – Marvin is going to missing 4-6 weeks with a back injury, thus making him irrelevant for fantasy purposes for the remainder of the year. We had such high hopes for Marvin at the beginning of the season, didn’t we? He’s still young, and so he could break out at some point, but it is looking increasingly likely that Williams is, at best, a 14/5 player. Again, he’s still young, so he could prove me wrong yet, but I’m certainly not going to go out of my way to target him in drafts for the 2009-2010 season.
Josh Howard – It’s not quite official yet, but it is starting to look like Josh Howard will miss the rest of the regular season. If you are in a tight battle to make the playoffs, you should strongly consider dropping Howard in order to pick up someone off the waiver wire who might help you win now.
Kevin Durant – Not all players returning from injury are equal. Some, like Granger (see below), will need a few games to play themselves back into a groove. Durant’s return, however, was a completely positive experience: he played 40 minutes, he scored 22 points, but most importantly, he looked healthy out there on the court.
Hedo Turkoglu – Hedo is another player who recently returned from injury. His first night back was also a good sign for his owners, as he played 37 minutes and was left in the game even when the game’s outcome was no longer in doubt. Before missing two games with his foot injury, Hedo was having one of the worst seasons of his career shooting percentage-wise. Hedo, who shot 45.6% last year, is shooting 40.8% this year. He’s showed signs of turning things around in February (he shot 43%, his best month of the season), so hopefully now that he is healthy he can get his shooting percentage back in the mid-forties where it belongs.
Monta Ellis – At the beginning of the season, there was a lot of doom and gloom being spouted regarding the injuries of the following players: Manu Ginobili, Gilbert Arenas, and Monta Ellis. Manu proved useful for a few months in the middle of the season but is currently dealing with a stress fracture. Gilbert proved completely and utterly useless. And Monta Ellis, now three games into his comeback, has been a complete godsend to fantasy owners trying to make a late playoff push. In his last game, Monta played 41 minutes and scored 26 points on 12-of-19 shooting. Gold.
LeBron James – Did it scare the absolute farts out of you when LeBron crashed into Grant Hill and hurt his knee? Me too. But you have no need to worry. LeBron just missed a triple double in his next game.
Here is the NBA Search Market Timeline:
Cautious Optimism
Danny Granger – Granger’s first game back was a little rough: 3-of-11, 10 points, 1-of-7 on his three point attempts. Granger has been out a long time, and so it could easily take him a few games to work himself back into shape. Expect a few choppy outings this week. I own him in a weekly league, and I kept him on my bench this week. Why? Easy. A quasi-healthy Granger can be dangerous to any owner hoping to have a chance to win the field goal percentage category. Granger could easily jack up a shot a minute in his next few games, and I highly doubt he’ll make more than 40% of them. Give him a week. After that, he should be good to go, just in time for the fantasy basketball playoffs, too.
Randy Foye – Foye is one of those players who plays best when he is in a groove. This year, that groove happened in January, when he scored 19.4 points a game on 44.8% shooting. In the eighteen games he’s played since January, he’s scored almost as many points per game, but his average shooting percentage has been below 39%. After missing two games last week with an ankle injury, Foye returned to the court to score nine points in 31 minutes. He should be back in the starting lineup on Tuesday, and while it is likely that he’ll resume scoring just under 20 points a game, I highly doubt he’ll get into any sort of groove that has him shooting 45% from the field.
Manu Ginobili – For those of you in weekly leagues, it is entirely possible that Manu won’t help you make the playoffs, as he will probably miss 1-2 more weeks. If, however, you have already made the playoffs, I am completely confident that Manu will help your team. The Spurs have a solid playoff schedule, and Manu has a knack for coming up big. I’m bullish on Manu. I don’t quite know why, but I trust that he will do everything he can to return and will play well the moment he steps back onto the court. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if Manu were to play in a game later this week.* We’ll see.
Unmitigated Wariness
Andris Biedrins – We’ve seen this before: Andris tweaks his ankle and misses a week. Given the fact that we are entering the final week of the regular fantasy season, Andris’ timing is a little annoying, but if you have a playoff spot locked up you should feel confident that Andris will be able to help your team come playoff time.
Active Worry
Marvin Williams – Marvin is going to missing 4-6 weeks with a back injury, thus making him irrelevant for fantasy purposes for the remainder of the year. We had such high hopes for Marvin at the beginning of the season, didn’t we? He’s still young, and so he could break out at some point, but it is looking increasingly likely that Williams is, at best, a 14/5 player. Again, he’s still young, so he could prove me wrong yet, but I’m certainly not going to go out of my way to target him in drafts for the 2009-2010 season.
Josh Howard – It’s not quite official yet, but it is starting to look like Josh Howard will miss the rest of the regular season. If you are in a tight battle to make the playoffs, you should strongly consider dropping Howard in order to pick up someone off the waiver wire who might help you win now.
Sunday, March 8, 2009
NBA Search Market: Week 19
Kevin Durant – Have you ever been watching a really good DVD and been interrupted for a few minutes by a phone call from your aunt? Durant’s ankle injury is your aunt. And that DVD will continue to be good after you hit the play button to start it up again. I will admit that the aunt / DVD thing is pretty stupid, but it did give me fond memories of Larry Johnson back in the day.
Here is new, 2009-style version of the NBA Search Timeline:
Cautious Optimism
Danny Granger – Granger was said to be out from 10-to-21 days. As of now, he’s missed 18 days. Rumor is he’ll be back on Tuesday. I wouldn’t dare start him in weekly leagues until I’d seen him play, but I would allow myself to begin to get teary-eyed when thinking about how much better my fantasy basketball team will be when Granger finally does return.
Caron Butler – Butler is back after missing a few games due to injury. Get him into your lineup as he has a four-game week this week. One more thing: I know most trade deadlines have passed, but if yours hasn’t I’d look to unload Butler. For a guy that was sometimes drafted late first round, early second round, he’s been pretty disappointing (he’s been somewhere around the 40th best fantasy basketball player this year), but perhaps there is an owner out there that will give you good value based on Butler’s cache.
Eric Gordon – Gordon returned after missing four games and scored an eye-opening 35 points. I’m not sold that his injury troubles are over, but his scoring outburst was certainly a good sign.
Zach Randolph – Randolph missed two games to be with his ill father. He retuned to post his usual 20/10 line. Carry on.
Jeff Green and Thabo Sefolsosha – Green, who has missed three games with a back injury, warmed up with the team on Sunday and nearly played. If I owned him in a weekly league, I wouldn’t start him this week, as he only has a three-game week and it isn’t worth the risk. Thabo missed a game with a knee injury, but he returned on Sunday and played 38 minutes. If Green and Durant miss a few more games, Thabo could end up being a great short-term play.
Pure Excitement
Unmitigated Wariness
Luol Deng – Until more news about Deng’s stress fracture is known, you should certainly keep Deng benched. Folks in weekly leagues should not start him. Consider him to be day-to-day with a possibility of being lost for the season. Not a good prognosis, but it could obviously be worse.
*Would you rather have Deng (over Antonio McDyess) the rest of the way? Give it a thumbs up or down.
Active Worry
Drew Gooden – So Gooden is a Spur. Interesting. Or is it? Buser thinks Gooden will only get about 20 minutes per game as a Spur. If true, this would make Gooden very uninteresting. Perhaps I’d be more interested in Gooden if I didn’t have the sense that he was losing a battle with a sports hernia. So I guess the only interesting thing that remains to be said about Gooden is the remarkable consistency with which he’s put up stats throughout his career. He might make his Spur debut sometime later this week.
Josh Howard – This just isn’t Howard’s year. He’s spent the last few days visiting ankle specialists, and if you own him right now, you should start preparing yourself for the possibility that he doesn’t play again this season. On the other hand, he’s currently day-to-day, and perhaps we find out on Monday that he’ll be fine. Let’s hope so.
Here is new, 2009-style version of the NBA Search Timeline:
Cautious Optimism
Danny Granger – Granger was said to be out from 10-to-21 days. As of now, he’s missed 18 days. Rumor is he’ll be back on Tuesday. I wouldn’t dare start him in weekly leagues until I’d seen him play, but I would allow myself to begin to get teary-eyed when thinking about how much better my fantasy basketball team will be when Granger finally does return.
Caron Butler – Butler is back after missing a few games due to injury. Get him into your lineup as he has a four-game week this week. One more thing: I know most trade deadlines have passed, but if yours hasn’t I’d look to unload Butler. For a guy that was sometimes drafted late first round, early second round, he’s been pretty disappointing (he’s been somewhere around the 40th best fantasy basketball player this year), but perhaps there is an owner out there that will give you good value based on Butler’s cache.
Eric Gordon – Gordon returned after missing four games and scored an eye-opening 35 points. I’m not sold that his injury troubles are over, but his scoring outburst was certainly a good sign.
Zach Randolph – Randolph missed two games to be with his ill father. He retuned to post his usual 20/10 line. Carry on.
Jeff Green and Thabo Sefolsosha – Green, who has missed three games with a back injury, warmed up with the team on Sunday and nearly played. If I owned him in a weekly league, I wouldn’t start him this week, as he only has a three-game week and it isn’t worth the risk. Thabo missed a game with a knee injury, but he returned on Sunday and played 38 minutes. If Green and Durant miss a few more games, Thabo could end up being a great short-term play.
Pure Excitement
Unmitigated Wariness
Luol Deng – Until more news about Deng’s stress fracture is known, you should certainly keep Deng benched. Folks in weekly leagues should not start him. Consider him to be day-to-day with a possibility of being lost for the season. Not a good prognosis, but it could obviously be worse.
Active Worry
Drew Gooden – So Gooden is a Spur. Interesting. Or is it? Buser thinks Gooden will only get about 20 minutes per game as a Spur. If true, this would make Gooden very uninteresting. Perhaps I’d be more interested in Gooden if I didn’t have the sense that he was losing a battle with a sports hernia. So I guess the only interesting thing that remains to be said about Gooden is the remarkable consistency with which he’s put up stats throughout his career. He might make his Spur debut sometime later this week.
Josh Howard – This just isn’t Howard’s year. He’s spent the last few days visiting ankle specialists, and if you own him right now, you should start preparing yourself for the possibility that he doesn’t play again this season. On the other hand, he’s currently day-to-day, and perhaps we find out on Monday that he’ll be fine. Let’s hope so.
Friday, March 6, 2009
NBA Search Market: Week 18
I'm going to start this week off with a prediction: many of you have already begun to turn your attentions to fantasy baseball. Your draft is in eighteen days, and you're scrambling to find a secret list of fantasy baseball players that might surprise in 2009. You google searched "secret fantasy baseball list" as well as some variations of this theme, but you have yet to find it. Tick tock. How can you have a good baseball draft if you don't have a secret list?
My suggestion? Focus! Don't bring your fantasy baseball brain into this column! It is basketball crunch time right now, and you need to start focusing on how to get a top two seed in the playoffs, or how to make the playoffs, or (and hopefully this isn't the case) how to get your team out of the cellar and avoid all the embarrassment that comes with a last place team. So let's get to work.
So here is what we're going to do. After briefly catching you up to date on the ten players you insisted on searching for this week, I'm going to discuss a few additional players that should be in the top ten most searched players. Deal? Okay, let's get started.
Pure Excitement
Mike Bibby – Bibby caught a flu bug that's been going around. His long-term outlook remains great, but his short-term outlook will probably include a few sluggish games until he regains his strength. His first game back he certainly looked sluggish, as he played 19 minutes and didn't score a point. But rather than dwell on that, let's instead take a moment to recognize how good Mike Bibby has been this year (and when I say this year, I mean the beginning of the season up until January. After that things get hazy). UPDATE: Yes, January, February, and now March have been pretty tough on Bibby. But he's better than this (see November and December). And he appears to be over his bout of flu.
Okay, moment over. Moving on.
Delonte West – Be honest: when I asked you for a moment of quiet time in honor of Mike Bibby, did you find your mind drifting to thoughts of Delonte West? West has also been very good this year, and as long as his wrist soreness doesn't slow him down, he should continue to rack up big nights playing next to LeBron.
Steve Nash – Nash is day-to-day with a sprained ankle, but it sounds like he'll be back on the court soon. Back in time for this week, you ask? Well, the team that has Nash in my weekly league has him on the bench for the upcoming week. However, I could certainly see others wanting to start him. I'd probably start him if I owned him: he's got a four-game week and his first game is Tuesday. Hopefully he plays tonight (Sunday night) and makes your decision easier. UPDATE: Nash will not play Sunday night. SECOND UPDATE: Nash returned to play 37 and 40 minutes in his first two games back after missing three games with an ankle injury.
Nene Hilario – Nene returned earlier than expected. Rejoice! Look for his minutes to gradually increase over the next few games. Update: Nene is back to doing what he does (he played 34 minutes Thursday night).
Cautious Optimism
Danny Granger – 80% of you think Granger will be a top 15 player from the time he steps back on the court until the end of the season. If that isn't optimisim, I don't know what is. Latest reports are that he's healing slowing, but the optimism in me is hoping that his time off will help his knees heal up. Granger is worried that he's starting to lose fitness, but hopefully he's at least been running in the pool to get his heartrate up. Oh, and it should be noted that Granger is in the 11th day of his initial 10 days-to-three-week window. UPDATE: Granger's injury is apparently healing fine, and he was nearly ready to play a few times this week. Perhaps he'll give it a go this weekend. If you play in a weekly league, you may want to hold him out for one more week.
Tim Duncan – Duncan is scheduled to return tonight (Sunday), and should be fine going forward. UPDATE: Tim might be playing with Drew Gooden soon.
Unmitigated Wariness
Stephon Marbury – I had decided in my head that if Marbury ever made it back into the top ten most searched players, I would ignore him and pretend he wasn't there. I am breaking that mental promise right now, but only to instruct you to continue to not care about anything Marbury. I refuse to believe that he'll be useful, except maybe in the deepest of leagues. But in your typical ten and twelve team leagues, the fact that Marbury is now on the Celtics should mean nothing to you. My point is harder to make when the only data we have is the one game Marbury has played in so far: eight points, two rebounds, and three assists in 13 minutes. If you were to convert those stats to a 39 minute night by Marbury, he'd have had 24 points, six rebounds, and nine assists. Sounds pretty good. But don't believe it. Fools gold. Let someone else nab Marbury. I feel like I might be in the minority in holding this position. Am I?*
*Do you think Marbury will have fantasy relevance this year in typical 10 and 12 team leagues? Give it a thumbs up or down.
Active Worry
Greg Oden – Oden will miss his seventh straight game tonight. As I said last week, I tend to be aggressive, sometimes overly so, but I'd drop Oden for something, anything, else. If you trade deadline is March 5th, you might want to see if you can trade Oden for the worst player on someone else's team. UPDATE: Oden was just dropped in one of my ten-team leagues. Nobody moved to pick him up.
Drew Gooden – An aggressive league-mate in my ten team league dropped Gooden last week and nobody picked him up. Sure, his one-game outburst for the Kings was impressive (12 points, 13 boards), but I have no confidence that he can hold his body together for the long haul. The has groin/hernia issues up the, er, wazzu. UPDATE: Gooden is now a Spur. He might be a nice speculative grab if he's available, but my guess is he doesn't play more than twenty minutes a game for the Spurs.
Jason Terry – Terry was told by doctors that he wouldn't be able to return from his injury until late March, which is probably too late to help most fantasy teams. And now, suddenly there are reports of Terry practicing. But I don't believe that practicing means he'll be able to help your team in March. Dude has a broken hand. There is no way to recover "faster" when your bones are broke. So I would not run out and pick him up. Let someone else follow that tease. But what if I'm wrong, you say? What if I'm wrong and all it cost to get Terry's sweet stats was dropping the worst player on my team, who I didn't like anyway? Good point. So maybe there are some instances where dropping a player for Terry makes sense. But I wouldn't drop Francisco Garcia for him, for example. Or Jarrett Jack. Or Larry Hughes. You get the idea. UPDATE: Jason Terry returned...tonight (Sunday night). He didn't look great (8 points), but hey, he played. So I guess I was wrong on this one. Dead wrong. Hope you got your man!
Speaking of Jack, Garcia, and Hughes, those are the exact folks that I think should be in the top ten most search players for this week. Here's why:
Jarrett Jack – Who knew that Jack, a career 44% shooter, could shoot over 49% for any stretch of time, let alone an entire month. He's probably not available in most active leagues, but I feel like it needs to be noted that his 16 points, 4.1 rebound, 3.4 assist, 1.3 steal, .4 block for the month of February was impressive. With Dunleavy done, Jack should continue to be able to jack up shots, and hopefully he is able to continue to make a high percentage of them.
Larry Hughes – Hughes is one of those rare players who can manage to score over 22 points while shooting under 39% (he did this in the 1999 – 2000 season). Now that he's going to be getting starter minutes for the Knicks, look for him to rival Al Harrington and Nate Robinson for most shot attempts. What do I mean with all my snarky comments? Hughes will help you in some leagues and hurt you in others. If you need to protect your shooting percentage in a smaller league that starts fewer players, don't bother with Hughes. But if you are in a bigger league that can absorb Hughes' 40% shooting, get him if he is able to be gotten.
Francisco Garcia – I've always been a big fan of guys who do a little bit in each category but aren't flashy in any single category. These are the guys that tend to be undervalued. Garcia has been great of late, and as long as he can hold onto his starting spot, he should continue to be a huge asset. It is also worth noting that Garcia and the Kings have a sold 4-2-4-4 schedule in the fantasy playoffs. Perhaps look to target him before any impending trade deadlines pass. UPDATE: Garcia has a non-displaced fracture in his finger, and so it would probably be best to see how much it bothers him before trading for him.
My suggestion? Focus! Don't bring your fantasy baseball brain into this column! It is basketball crunch time right now, and you need to start focusing on how to get a top two seed in the playoffs, or how to make the playoffs, or (and hopefully this isn't the case) how to get your team out of the cellar and avoid all the embarrassment that comes with a last place team. So let's get to work.
So here is what we're going to do. After briefly catching you up to date on the ten players you insisted on searching for this week, I'm going to discuss a few additional players that should be in the top ten most searched players. Deal? Okay, let's get started.
Pure Excitement
Mike Bibby – Bibby caught a flu bug that's been going around. His long-term outlook remains great, but his short-term outlook will probably include a few sluggish games until he regains his strength. His first game back he certainly looked sluggish, as he played 19 minutes and didn't score a point. But rather than dwell on that, let's instead take a moment to recognize how good Mike Bibby has been this year (and when I say this year, I mean the beginning of the season up until January. After that things get hazy). UPDATE: Yes, January, February, and now March have been pretty tough on Bibby. But he's better than this (see November and December). And he appears to be over his bout of flu.
Okay, moment over. Moving on.
Delonte West – Be honest: when I asked you for a moment of quiet time in honor of Mike Bibby, did you find your mind drifting to thoughts of Delonte West? West has also been very good this year, and as long as his wrist soreness doesn't slow him down, he should continue to rack up big nights playing next to LeBron.
Steve Nash – Nash is day-to-day with a sprained ankle, but it sounds like he'll be back on the court soon. Back in time for this week, you ask? Well, the team that has Nash in my weekly league has him on the bench for the upcoming week. However, I could certainly see others wanting to start him. I'd probably start him if I owned him: he's got a four-game week and his first game is Tuesday. Hopefully he plays tonight (Sunday night) and makes your decision easier. UPDATE: Nash will not play Sunday night. SECOND UPDATE: Nash returned to play 37 and 40 minutes in his first two games back after missing three games with an ankle injury.
Nene Hilario – Nene returned earlier than expected. Rejoice! Look for his minutes to gradually increase over the next few games. Update: Nene is back to doing what he does (he played 34 minutes Thursday night).
Cautious Optimism
Danny Granger – 80% of you think Granger will be a top 15 player from the time he steps back on the court until the end of the season. If that isn't optimisim, I don't know what is. Latest reports are that he's healing slowing, but the optimism in me is hoping that his time off will help his knees heal up. Granger is worried that he's starting to lose fitness, but hopefully he's at least been running in the pool to get his heartrate up. Oh, and it should be noted that Granger is in the 11th day of his initial 10 days-to-three-week window. UPDATE: Granger's injury is apparently healing fine, and he was nearly ready to play a few times this week. Perhaps he'll give it a go this weekend. If you play in a weekly league, you may want to hold him out for one more week.
Tim Duncan – Duncan is scheduled to return tonight (Sunday), and should be fine going forward. UPDATE: Tim might be playing with Drew Gooden soon.
Unmitigated Wariness
Stephon Marbury – I had decided in my head that if Marbury ever made it back into the top ten most searched players, I would ignore him and pretend he wasn't there. I am breaking that mental promise right now, but only to instruct you to continue to not care about anything Marbury. I refuse to believe that he'll be useful, except maybe in the deepest of leagues. But in your typical ten and twelve team leagues, the fact that Marbury is now on the Celtics should mean nothing to you. My point is harder to make when the only data we have is the one game Marbury has played in so far: eight points, two rebounds, and three assists in 13 minutes. If you were to convert those stats to a 39 minute night by Marbury, he'd have had 24 points, six rebounds, and nine assists. Sounds pretty good. But don't believe it. Fools gold. Let someone else nab Marbury. I feel like I might be in the minority in holding this position. Am I?*
Active Worry
Greg Oden – Oden will miss his seventh straight game tonight. As I said last week, I tend to be aggressive, sometimes overly so, but I'd drop Oden for something, anything, else. If you trade deadline is March 5th, you might want to see if you can trade Oden for the worst player on someone else's team. UPDATE: Oden was just dropped in one of my ten-team leagues. Nobody moved to pick him up.
Drew Gooden – An aggressive league-mate in my ten team league dropped Gooden last week and nobody picked him up. Sure, his one-game outburst for the Kings was impressive (12 points, 13 boards), but I have no confidence that he can hold his body together for the long haul. The has groin/hernia issues up the, er, wazzu. UPDATE: Gooden is now a Spur. He might be a nice speculative grab if he's available, but my guess is he doesn't play more than twenty minutes a game for the Spurs.
Jason Terry – Terry was told by doctors that he wouldn't be able to return from his injury until late March, which is probably too late to help most fantasy teams. And now, suddenly there are reports of Terry practicing. But I don't believe that practicing means he'll be able to help your team in March. Dude has a broken hand. There is no way to recover "faster" when your bones are broke. So I would not run out and pick him up. Let someone else follow that tease. But what if I'm wrong, you say? What if I'm wrong and all it cost to get Terry's sweet stats was dropping the worst player on my team, who I didn't like anyway? Good point. So maybe there are some instances where dropping a player for Terry makes sense. But I wouldn't drop Francisco Garcia for him, for example. Or Jarrett Jack. Or Larry Hughes. You get the idea. UPDATE: Jason Terry returned...tonight (Sunday night). He didn't look great (8 points), but hey, he played. So I guess I was wrong on this one. Dead wrong. Hope you got your man!
Speaking of Jack, Garcia, and Hughes, those are the exact folks that I think should be in the top ten most search players for this week. Here's why:
Jarrett Jack – Who knew that Jack, a career 44% shooter, could shoot over 49% for any stretch of time, let alone an entire month. He's probably not available in most active leagues, but I feel like it needs to be noted that his 16 points, 4.1 rebound, 3.4 assist, 1.3 steal, .4 block for the month of February was impressive. With Dunleavy done, Jack should continue to be able to jack up shots, and hopefully he is able to continue to make a high percentage of them.
Larry Hughes – Hughes is one of those rare players who can manage to score over 22 points while shooting under 39% (he did this in the 1999 – 2000 season). Now that he's going to be getting starter minutes for the Knicks, look for him to rival Al Harrington and Nate Robinson for most shot attempts. What do I mean with all my snarky comments? Hughes will help you in some leagues and hurt you in others. If you need to protect your shooting percentage in a smaller league that starts fewer players, don't bother with Hughes. But if you are in a bigger league that can absorb Hughes' 40% shooting, get him if he is able to be gotten.
Francisco Garcia – I've always been a big fan of guys who do a little bit in each category but aren't flashy in any single category. These are the guys that tend to be undervalued. Garcia has been great of late, and as long as he can hold onto his starting spot, he should continue to be a huge asset. It is also worth noting that Garcia and the Kings have a sold 4-2-4-4 schedule in the fantasy playoffs. Perhaps look to target him before any impending trade deadlines pass. UPDATE: Garcia has a non-displaced fracture in his finger, and so it would probably be best to see how much it bothers him before trading for him.
Sunday, March 1, 2009
NBA Search Market: Week 17
Pure Excitement
Chris Bosh – Good thing Bosh took his rehab as seriously as he's been taking his blogging. His return to the court wasn't pretty (he shot 4-for-12), but things will get better quickly. His team looked good in a win today, and perhaps now that Calderon, Marion, Bargnani and Bosh are all reasonably healthy, the Raptors can reel off a few wins.
Prediction: Bosh will score over 25 points in at least one game this week.
Marcus Camby – Ear infection? Bah, I'm not worried Camby's ear infection. In fact, this might be one of the few injuries Camby could get that wouldn't worry me.
Prediction: Get Camby in your lineup, as he should play all four games this upcoming week.
Cautious Optimism
Danny Granger – Is Granger a buy low candidate or someone to avoid at all costs?* First we find out that Granger's knees were flagged by doctors prior to the 2006 draft. Then Granger pops a ligament in his foot. Now we are told that told that Granger may return anywhere from 10 days to three weeks. Things look pretty bleak. So yeah, maybe putting Granger's name in the "optimistic" section is a little forced.
Prediction: Granger, tough man that he is, returns in twelve days.
Andris Biedrins – Biedrins has hinted that he will return on Monday. I'd be more excited about his return, however, if Don Nelson wasn't his coach and if Warriors management wasn't pushing for Anthony Randolph to get more minutes. Still, Biedrins is one of those rare player who can put up lots of counting stats (rebounds) in relatively few minutes. I wouldn't start him this week in weekly leagues, but he should be back in your lineup the following week.
Prediction: Randolph steals five minutes a game from Biedrins.
Unmitigated Wariness
Chris Kaman – Not much to update on this one. As I wrote last week, the term "strained arch" is very misleading and doesn't tell the whole story. Kaman is really dealing with plantar fasciitis, which is a very insidious injury in that it can be very unpredictable. Some people have it for years, while others seem to be able to shake it quickly. Rumor has it that Kaman will return for the final 25 games of the season, but don't expect more than 80% of a typical Kaman output, and be aware that there is a huge likelihood that he aggravates his injury.
Prediction: Kaman plays 8 games before shutting it down for the rest of the season.
Carlos Boozer – Last week I predicted Boozer wouldn't be fantasy relevant for the rest of the season. Maybe I was being a bit melodramatic, as there rumors floating around that he might return this week. Even so, I continue to have little-to-no faith in him. Why? Because he's a liar. I call players like Boozer, who don't seem to care much about getting back to the court, "shrug" players: even if Boozer does come back and plays well, I will just shrug. I still don't want him on my team. Ever.
Prediction: I'm stubbornly sticking with my prediction that Boozer will not be fantasy relevant for the rest of this season.
Active Worry
Tyson Chandler – Rumor has it that Chandler might return on Monday. His two-to-three-year-old toe injury and recent ankle injury appear to be healing. The thing is, what will he do when he does return? Don't expect a slew of double-doubles. Instead, you should expect inconsistent play for the rest of the season from Chandler.
Prediction: Chandler returns and gets his only double-double for the rest of the season against Oklahoma City, the team that nearly traded for him, on March 7th.
Greg Oden – Poor guy. The word surgery is being thrown around. As I've mentioned before, I like Oden, and so I hope I'm wrong in being fairly certain that this 2009 season isn't going to end well. I tend to be aggressive, sometimes overly so, but I'd drop Oden for Przybilla's 6 points, 12 rebounds right now.
Prediction: Oden avoids surgery and returns to the court to consistently produce…nah, Oden is done.
Mike Dunleavy – When you're making ten predictions a week like I am, you're bound to get a few of them right eventually. Dunleavy is, well, done. His fantasy value has been flattened (dunleavened?) due to injury. Drop him and move on. Even if he does return, which is highly doubtful, you have to figure that he will shoot poorly and have less time on the court to rack up counting stats.
Prediction: Marquis Daniels once again becomes a viable fantasy options in some leagues.
Tracy McGrady – Shut it down! Remember when Vince Carter was king of the NBA universe back in 2000? Soon after he reached that pinnacle, there was a backlash against Carter. The same is true for McGrady. He used to be superhero-esque, but his image has certainly taken a hit this year. It's sad. Unless you were smart enough to not draft McGrady in the first place. Then you probably don't care what happens to McGrady one way or the other.
Prediction: McGrady is out for the year.
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